"ABIO10 PGTW 211200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/211200Z-211800ZMAY2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.2N 73.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 71.2E, APPROXIMATELY 179 NM SOUTH-\r\nSOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nAND A 210830Z ATMS 88GHZ IMAGE REVEALS LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUING TO \r\nCONSOLIDATE WITH FRAGMENTED CONVECTION FLARING UP OVER THE CENTER OF THE \r\nSYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR, MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND VERY WARM (30C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN FAIR \r\nAGREEMENT THAT 93A WILL CONTINUE TO STEADILY INTENSIFY, HOWEVER ECMWF IS \r\nLESS AGGRESSIVE IN THE NEAR-TERM, REACHING TC CRITERIA LATER THAN OTHER \r\nMODELS DO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//"