"ABPW10 PGTW 120600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH\r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/120600Z-130600ZMAR2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR\r\n11.0S 139.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.3S 171.7E, APPROXIMATELY 318 NM \r\nEAST-NORTHEAST OF NOUMEA. ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) AND A \r\n0440Z HIMAWARI-9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICTS A BROAD WEAKLY DEFINED \r\nLLCC WITH FLARING CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS\r\nINDICATES 93P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nMODERATE (15-20KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES, COUPLED WITH ENHANCED DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS \r\nARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93P WILL GRADUALLY DEEPEN AS IT DEVELOPS \r\nUNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS. GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE 93P ADVANCING \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BRIEFLY TRACKING OVER LAND, THEN \r\nFURTHER INTENSIFYING AS IT MAINTAINS AN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK. \r\nHOWEVER, 93P WILL ENCOUNTER HIGH VWS (30-40KT) INTO THE CORAL SEA WHICH \r\nMAY HINDER FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."