"ABPW10 PGTW 080600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZMAY2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED\r\nNEAR 8.9S 141.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0S 141.3E, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM \r\nNORTH OF WEIPA, QUEENSLAND, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) \r\nOBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS \r\nFAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (VWS) OF 15-20 KNOTS, GOOD POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 28-29 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE \r\nMODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY \r\nWESTWARD, THEN REMAIN NEAR THE ARAFURA SEA AND SLOWLY DEVELOP OVER THE \r\nNEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO \r\n23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"