"ABPW10 PGTW 090300\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/090300Z-090600ZMAY2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.0S 141.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.7S 138.1E, APPROXIMATELY 228 NM \r\nNORTH-NORTHEAST OF GOVE AIRPORT, NHULUNBUY, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED \r\nENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS AN OBSCURED LOW \r\nLEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING UNDER ORGANIZING \r\nCONVECTION. A 082316Z ASCAT-B IMAGE SHOWS A SWATH OF 20-25 KNOTS WINDS \r\nTO THE SOUTH. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 10-15 KNOTS, GOOD \r\nPOLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) \r\nOF 29-31 C. FURTHERMORE, A POINT SOURCE DIRECTLY OVER THE ANALYZED \r\nPOSITION REVEALS ROBUST DIVERGENCE ALOFT THAT IS CLEARLY EVIDENT IN \r\nTHE ANIMATED EIR LOOP. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT THAT 93P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD OVER \r\nWATER, THEN REMAIN NEAR THE ARAFURA SEA AND SLOWLY DEVELOP OVER THE \r\nNEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 \r\nTO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 \r\nMB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO \r\nMEDIUM.//"