"ABPW10 PGTW 090600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZMAY2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.0S 141.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.7S 138.1E, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM NORTH-\r\nNORTHEAST OF GOVE AIRPORT, NHULUNBUY, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD AND SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING \r\nPARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING \r\nCONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MODERATE TO UNFAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF \r\n20-25 KNOTS, GOOD POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (SST) OF 28-29C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN \r\nGOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY \r\nWESTWARD, THEN REMAIN NEAR THE ARAFURA SEA AND SLOWLY DEVELOP OVER THE \r\nNEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO \r\n25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"