"ABIO10 PGTW 040300\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/040300Z-041800ZMAR2026//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n11.7S 108.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6S 109.4E, APPROXIMATELY 228 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY OBSCURED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION \r\nCENTER (LLCC) FEATURING FLARING CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE \r\nNORTHERN PERIPHERY AND SHEARING TO THE WEST, AND EXPOSED SHALLOW \r\nBANDING FEATURES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY. A 031422Z ASCAT \r\n(METOP-B) PARTIAL PASS REVEALS 30KT WINDS TO THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF \r\nA TIGHT CIRCULATION CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATELY \r\nFAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (28 TO 29 C), MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, CONTRASTED BY \r\nTHE STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (30 TO 40KTS). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE FORMATION AND GENERAL \r\nEASTWARD TRACK OF 90S IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 030630) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.4S 122.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1S 121.0E, APPROXIMATELY 132 NM \r\nNORTHWEST OF BROOME. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nDEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT HAS NOW MOVED \r\nRAPIDLY OFFSHORE, FEATURING DEEP CONVECTION ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY \r\nOF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\n(15 TO 20KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30 TO 31 C), GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE STEADY \r\nDEVELOPMENT AND GENERAL WEST TRACK OF 93S IN THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO \r\nMEDIUM.//"