"ABIO10 PGTW 041800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\n041800Z-051800ZMAR2026//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041352ZMAR2026//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041421ZMAR2026// \r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.1S 121.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.0S 120.0E, APPROXIMATELY 176 NM \r\nNORTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH \r\nCONVECTIVE BANDING BEGINNING TO WRAP ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO \r\nMODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (29-30 C). DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE SLIGHTLY HESITANT ON \r\nTHE FORMATION OF 93S WHILE ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW FURTHER DEVELOPMENT \r\nIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OVERALL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH A WESTWARD \r\nTRACK OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE \r\nREF B (WTXS21 PGTW 041430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"