"ABIO10 PGTW 051500\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/051500Z-051800ZMAR2026//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051351ZMAR2026//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051421ZMAR2026//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.1S 121.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.5S 116.4E, APPROXIMATELY 314 NM NORTH \r\nOF LEARMONTH. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A \r\nPARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP FLARING \r\nCONVECTION LARGELY DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF THE CIRCULATION. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 \r\nC). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS DELAY THE CONSOLIDATION OF 93S WHILE \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OVERALL \r\nMODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH A WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM \r\nSEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 051430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 2.A.(1) WITH FINAL WARNING \r\nINFORMATION, UPDATED TCFA INFORMATION IN PARA 2.B.(1)//"