"ABPW10 PGTW 012200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/012200Z-020600ZDEC2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011951ZDEC2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n12.4N 138.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 138.1E, APPROXIMATELY 172 NM \r\nNORTH OF YAP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) \r\nDEPICTS A POORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (30-31 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL \r\nCONTINUE WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 \r\nTO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 \r\nMB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.0S \r\n156.1E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST OF BORA BORA. ANIMATED ENHANCED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA \r\nINDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C), AND \r\nGOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE \r\nMODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT 99P WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE \r\nSOUTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO \r\n18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//"