"ABPW10 PGTW 141400\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/141400Z-150600ZFEB2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):\r\n A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):\r\n A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.4S 137.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5S 137.7E, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 132358Z \r\nGMI 89GHZ SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS FORMATIVE SHALLOW BANDS \r\nOF CONVECTION, AND A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT 93S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT \r\nFOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH VERY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, \r\nMODERATE DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW, AND LOW TO MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (10-15 KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93S WILL \r\nGENERALLY TRACK EASTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, MOVING OVER THE \r\nSOUTHERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA. OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS, NUMERICAL \r\nMODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 93S WILL TURN SOUTHWARD TOWARDS LAND. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.9S \r\n167.7W, APPROXIMATELY 196 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO. ENHANCED \r\nINFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 140838Z 89GHZ GMI SATELLITE \r\nMICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS AN ELONGATED, CONSOLIDATING LLCC WITH \r\nPERSISTENT, DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, WITH \r\nWARM (28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, MODERATE DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW, \r\nAND LOW VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (5-10 KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT THAT 94P WILL GENERALLY HEAD SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT \r\n24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO \r\n28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(2).//\r\nNNNN\n"