"ABPW10 PGTW 150130\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/150130Z-150600ZFEB2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):\r\n   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):\r\n   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.5S 137.7W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S 137.9W, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM \r\nNORTHWEST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nAND A 142031Z SSMIS 37GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT FORMATIVE SHALLOW BANDS \r\nOF CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT 93S IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH VERY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES, MODERATE DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW, AND LOW TO MARGINAL VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93S WILL \r\nGENERALLY TRACK TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA THEN \r\nINTERACTING WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT \r\n25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 \r\nMB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.9S 167.7W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.2S 166.5W, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF NIUE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 141707Z \r\nSSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICTS A QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH RAIN BANDS BEGINNING TO WRAP IN. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER \r\nDEVELOPMENT, WITH WARM (28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT, AND LOW VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (5-10 KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT THAT 94P WILL GENERALLY HEAD SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-36 \r\nHOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL \r\nFOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO MEDIUM//\r\nNNNN\n"