"ABPW10 PGTW 150600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/150600Z-160600ZFEB2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150521ZFEB2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):\r\n   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):\r\n   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.6S 137.9W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S 137.9E, APPROXIMATELY 104 NM \r\nNORTHWEST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY AND A 142031Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT A QUICKLY \r\nCONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH RAIN BANDS \r\nBEGINNING TO WRAP IN. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, WITH WARM (28C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURE, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND LOW VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (5-\r\n10 KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93S WILL GENERALLY \r\nHEAD SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.2S 166.5W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1S 166.5W, APPROXIMATELY 258 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF NIUE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nSHOWS A DEVELOPING SYSTEM EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MONSOON \r\nTROUGH AND JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTH PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE. THE MSI \r\nLOOP AND THE 150006Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE ALSO SHOW FORMATIVE \r\nRAIN BANDS WRAPPING INTO THE QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES, STRONG DUAL OUTFLOW, AND LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94P WILL \r\nGENERALLY HEAD SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 150530) FOR FURTHER \r\nDETAILS.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//\r\nNNNN\n"