"ABPW10 PGTW 151500\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/151500Z-160600ZFEB2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/151421ZFEB2024//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150521ZFEB2024//\r\nNARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):\r\n   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):\r\n   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.6S 137.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S 138.3E, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM \r\nNORTHWEST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY AND A 151238Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT SHALLOW RAIN \r\nBANDS WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP \r\nCONVECTION PRESENT IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, WITH WARM \r\n(29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND LOW \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT \r\nTHAT 93S WILL, AFTER A BRIEF QUASI-STATIONARY PERIOD, TRACK \r\nSOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO \r\nHIGH. SEE REF A (WTPS22 PGTW 151430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.2S 166.5W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1S 166.5W, APPROXIMATELY 258 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF NIUE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nSHOWS A DEVELOPING SYSTEM EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MONSOON \r\nTROUGH AND JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTH PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE. THE MSI \r\nLOOP AND THE 150006Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE ALSO SHOW FORMATIVE \r\nRAIN BANDS WRAPPING INTO THE QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES, STRONG DUAL OUTFLOW, AND LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94P WILL \r\nGENERALLY HEAD SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPS21 PGTW 150530) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO \r\nHIGH.//\r\nNNNN\r\n"