"ABPW10 PGTW 170600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/170600Z-180600ZJAN2026//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZJAN2026//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n18.6S 160.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.6S 159.8E, APPROXIMATELY 469 NM \r\nNORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A WEAK AND DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SPORADIC AND ISOLATED FLARING CONVECTION \r\nTHROUGHOUT THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN QUADRANTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nFOR THE AREA INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND \r\nWARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE \r\nIN FAIR AGREEMENT OF 94P SLOWLY INTENSIFYING AND MOVING NORTHWARD OVER \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH STEADY \r\nINTENSIFICATION ALSO MOVING NORTH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"