"ABPW10 PGTW 191230\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/191230Z-200600ZJAN2026//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190751ZJAN2026//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191221ZJAN2026//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n17.1S 158.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.1S 159.3E, APPROXIMATELY 510 NM \r\nNORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH DEEP AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION \r\nBUILDING OVER THE CENTER. A 191048Z METOP-C ASCAT REVEALS 18-23 KNOT \r\nWINDS WRAPPING AROUND THE EASTERN QUADRANT OF 94P.  IN ADDITION, A \r\nLARGE SWATH OF WINDS UP TO 25 KTS ARE OBSERVED 112 NM AND DISLOCATED \r\nTO THE NORTHWEST OF THE ASSESSED CIRCULATION CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KT), WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (27-28 C), AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW ONGOING SUPPORT FOR 94P TO \r\nREACH WARNING CRITERIA OF 35 KTS IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPS21 PGTW 191230) FOR FURTHER \r\nDETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO HIGH.//"