{"ObservationDate":"2026-01-20T03:00:00","Latitude":-19.5,"Longitude":162.5,"Windspeed":32.0,"Pressure":993.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 94P","PotentialStatus":"HIGH","OriginalBulletin":["ABPW10 PGTW 200300","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH ","PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/200300Z-200600ZJAN2026//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191951ZJAN2026//","REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191221ZJAN2026//","NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE","FORMATION ALERT.//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.3N ","146.0E, APPROXIMATELY 356 NM WEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL ","SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL ","CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE NORTHWESTERN ","SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ","DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20KTS), WARM ","SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. ","GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH DEVELOPING 92W, ","HOWEVER, ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE MORE AGREEABLE IN THE POSSIBILITY OF ","DEVELOPMENT. BOTH DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE THAT 92W ","WILL TRACK GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ","MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 17 KNOTS. ","MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE ","POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN ","THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.","      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","17.1S 158.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.5S 162.5E, APPROXIMATELY 278 NM ","SOUTHEAST OF NOUMEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ","(EIR) DEPICTS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ","(LLCC), WITH DEEP AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION BUILDING OVER THE CENTER. ","A 191048Z METOP-C ASCAT REVEALS 18-23 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING AROUND THE ","EASTERN QUADRANT OF 94P. IN ADDITION, A LARGE SWATH OF WINDS UP TO 25 ","KTS ARE OBSERVED 112 NM AND DISLOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE ","ASSESSED CIRCULATION CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA ","INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH LOW VERTICAL ","WIND SHEAR (10-15 KT), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C), AND ","WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE ","MODELS SHOW ONGOING SUPPORT FOR 94P TO REACH WARNING CRITERIA OF 35 ","KTS IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ","ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED ","TO BE NEAR 993 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT ","TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B ","(WTPS21 PGTW 191230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.","     (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.8S ","151.3E, APPROXIMATELY 346 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS. ANIMATED ","MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL ","CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF ","THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ","FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS), WARM SEA ","SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THERE IS ","UNCERTAINTY IN THE AGREEANCE OF THE GLOBAL MODELS, WITH GFS AS THE ","SOLE OUTLIER INDICATING DEVELOPMENT, HOWEVER, GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN ","AGREEMENT THAT 99P WILL TRACK SOUTH-EASTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-48 ","HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 27 ","KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE ","POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN ","THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.","      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREAS IN PARA. 1.B.(1) AND PARA. ","2.B.(2) .////"]}