"ABIO10 PGTW 111800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z-\r\n121800ZMAR2026//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.3S \r\n54.9E, APPROXIMATELY 273 NM SOUTH OF SEYCHELLES. ENHANCED INFRARED \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION ALONG AN ANALYZED SURFACE \r\nTROUGH. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10 TO \r\n15KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30 C), AND MODERATE \r\nEQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN \r\nGOOD AGREEANCE ON THE STEADY DEVELOPMENT OF 94S OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS \r\nAS IT TRACKS GENERALLY EASTWARD AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN \r\nFAVORABLE. GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"