"ABIO10 PGTW 130200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/130200Z-131800ZMAY2026//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.0S \r\n81.2E, APPROXIMATELY 547 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL ENHANCED IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION, WITH FORMATIVE BANDING ALONG ITS NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY. A \r\n121523Z ASCAT (METOP-B) PASS REVEALS A BROAD SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH A \r\nPATCH OF 20 KNOTS WINDS NEAR THE SPIRAL BAND. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE \r\nNORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS DEPICT SOME SHORT-TERM DEVELOPMENT DUE TO \r\nINCREASING POLEWARD OUTFLOW AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES A JET MAX TOWARDS \r\nTHE SOUTH. THE GFS MODEL IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE AND BRINGS THE SYSTEM TO \r\nNEAR TROPICAL-STORM INTENSITY. MOST MEMBERS OF GEFS AND ECENS KEEP THE \r\nSYSTEM BELOW CRITERIA AND AGREE ON A GENERAL SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK OVER \r\nTHE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED \r\nAT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA \r\nIN PARA. 2.B.(1).//"