"ABIO10 PGTW 150600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/150600Z-151800ZMAR2026//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n12.4S 58.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S 58.8E, APPROXIMATELY 435 NM NORTH \r\nOF MAURITUIS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A \r\nDISORGANIZED AND HIGHLY ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN \r\nTHE SOUTHERN MONSOON TROUGH. A 150427Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS FURTHER \r\nHIGHLIGHTS THE ELONGATED NATURE OF 94S ALONG WITH ITS ASYMMETRIC WIND \r\nFIELD CONTAINING ISOLATED AREAS OF 25 KNOT WINDS THROUGHOUT THE EASTERN \r\nSEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 \r\nKTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C), AND A MODERATE POLEWARD \r\nOUTFLOW CHANNEL ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT \r\nTHAT 94S HAS ALREADY REACHED ITS MAXIMUM SURFACE INTENSITY OF 30 KTS AND \r\nWILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTH OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS INTO A HIGHER \r\nSHEAR ENVIRONMENT, FILLING INTO AN OPEN SURFACE TROUGH TAU 12. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS \r\nDOWNGRADED TO LOW.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO LOW //"