"ABPW10 PGTW 080100\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/080100Z-080600ZNOV2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071951ZNOV2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.0N \r\n139.1E, APPROXIMATELY 335 NM NORTH OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nINFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 071833Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE \r\nIMAGE DEPICT AN ORGANIZING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A \r\nBROAD AREA OF TURNING OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION THAT IS WRAPPING \r\nTO THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERIES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nINDICATES THAT 92W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER \r\nDEVELOPMENT DUE TO VERY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD \r\nPOLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND LOW (10-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. \r\nGLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 92W WILL CONTINUE TO \r\nTRACK IN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION WITH GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER \r\nTHE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 \r\nTO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 \r\nMB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n8.2N 174.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 168.5E, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nDEPICTS A MORE CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH \r\nAN ELONGATED AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SOUTH-\r\nSOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 93W IS \r\nIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO VERY WARM \r\n(30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND \r\nLOW TO MODERATE (10-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATE THAT 93W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK IN A \r\nWEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION AND WILL QUICKLY CONSOLIDATE OVER THE \r\nNEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO \r\n18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.1N \r\n156.9E, APPROXIMATELY 434 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICT DEPICTS A VERY \r\nBROAD AREA OF DENSE, PERSISTENT CONVECTION BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 94W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOT) VWS OFFSET BY MODERATE \r\nDIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATE THAT 94W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK IN A \r\nNORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 48 \r\nHOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1). AND \r\n1.B.(3).//"