"ABPW10 PGTW 090300\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/090300Z-090600ZNOV2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090151ZNOV2024//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090152ZNOV2024//\r\nREF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090153ZNOV2024//\r\nNARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.4N 161.8E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE \r\nPARA. 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.7N 134.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 133.2E, APPROXIMATELY 701 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF APARRI, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A COMPACT SYSTEM WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION \r\nAND FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING AROUND A FULLY OBSCURED LLCC. UPPER-\r\nLEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (29-30C), LOW VWS (10-15KT) AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. \r\nGLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH 92W TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD \r\nWITH DEVELOPMENT AND INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS.. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF C (WTPN22 PGTW 090200) FOR FURTHER \r\nDETAILS.\r\n      (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n5.0N 152.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N 151.6E, APPROXIMATELY 81 NM SOUTH \r\nOF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nDEPICT DEPICTS A VERY BROAD AREA OF DENSE, PERSISTENT CONVECTION \r\nBEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 94W IS IN A \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 \r\nKNOT) VWS OFFSET BY MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WARM (30-31C) SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATE THAT 94W \r\nWILL CONTINUE TO TRACK IN A NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION WITH STEADY \r\nINTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING \r\nSTATUS. UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2) TO HIGH.//"