"ABPW10 PGTW 092000\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/092000Z-100600ZNOV2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091351ZNOV2024//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091352ZNOV2024//\r\nREF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091353ZNOV2024//\r\nNARR/REFS A, B AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n6.5N 149.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.6N 149E, APPROXIMATELY 177 NM WEST-\r\nSOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED ENHANCED IR AND A 1850Z HIMAWARI-9 IR \r\nDEPICT A BROAD AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING AROUND AN \r\nILL-DEFINED LLCC. JTWC STREAMLINE ANALYSIS INDICATES DISSCERNABLE \r\nTURNING AROUND A VORTEX WITH PLENTY OF DEEP MOISTURE. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nLOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 5-10 KTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD AND \r\nEQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30C. \r\nGLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94W WILL SLOWLY DEEPEN ALONG \r\nA NORTHWESTERLY TRACK INTO THE PHILLIPINE SEA OVER THE NEXT 24-48 \r\nHOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO \r\nMEDIUM.////"