"ABPW10 PGTW 040600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/040600Z-050600ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040551ZOCT2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n23.4N 143.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 143.3E, APPROXIMATELY 125 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS \r\nAN ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION \r\nWITHIN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM.  A 030040Z ASCAT-C \r\nPASS REVEALS A DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH 20-25 KNOT WINDS CONFINED TO \r\nTHE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CURRENTLY \r\nDISPLACED ABOUT 100NM FROM THE CENTER ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS \r\nFAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT FOR INVEST 94W WITH LOW VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR (LESS THAN 15 KNOTS), RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE ON AGREEMENT WITH A \r\nWEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND STEADY DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 040600) \r\nFOR FURTHER DETAILS\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"