"ABIO10 PGTW 111800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z-\r\n121800ZOCT2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.7N 69.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 66.4E, APPROXIMATELY 543 NM \r\nSOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH, OMAN. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS \r\nA DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH FLARING \r\nCONVECTION BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT \r\nINVEST 95A IS IN A MARGINALLY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT, \r\nWITH WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT AS WELL AS LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR \r\n(15-20KTS), SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE HOWEVER (28-30C). \r\nGLOBAL MODELS CURRENTLY INDICATE A RELATIVELY SLUGGISH DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nA WESTERLY TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."