"ABPW10 PGTW 120330\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/120330Z-120600ZMAY2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZMAY2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.6S 155.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.4S 156.0E, APPROXIMATELY 242 NM \r\nWEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (EIR) DEPICT A POORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC) OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION CURRENTLY BEING SHEARED FROM THE \r\nSOUTHWEST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES MARGINALLY \r\nFAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, OFFSET BY MODERATE \r\nTO HIGH (20-25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. \r\nGLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT THE AREA OF \r\nCONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD WITH GRADUAL \r\nDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AGREES ON A \r\nSOUTHEASTWARD TRACK WITH ECENS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN TERMS OF \r\nDEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n19.7S 176.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.9S 179.8W, APPROXIMATELY 269NM \r\nWESTNORTHWEST OF TONGA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A \r\nSUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL \r\nAND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ASYMMETRIC CIRCULATION UNDER VERY STRONG \r\nWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (OVER 50 KTS) DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF AN \r\nUPPER-LEVEL JET MAX TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. CONVECTION IS BEING \r\nVIGOROUSLY SHEARED TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 95P IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL TRANSITION DUE TO THE EXTREMELY HIGH VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR AND SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT ALONG THE ENTIRE \r\nWESTERN PORTION OF THE SYSTEM, OFFSET BY WARM (27-28 C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE AGREES ON A FAST SOUTHEASTWARD \r\nTRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH AN INCREASINGLY ELONGATED WIND FIELD \r\nAND THE STRONGEST WINDS REMAINING WITHIN THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 38 TO 43 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA. 2.A.(1) WITH 32P FINAL \r\nWARNING INFORMATION.//"