"ABIO10 PGTW 131800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN \r\nOCEAN/131800Z-141800ZNOV2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.4S 76.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 74.6E, APPROXIMATELY 214 NM \r\nSOUTHEAST OF DIEAGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE AND A \r\n131340Z SSMIS F16 91H MICROWAVE IMAGE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING \r\nLOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING FRAGMENTED BANDING. \r\nADDITIONALLY, THERE IS PERSISTENT CONVECTION BUILDING OVER THE CENTER. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR \r\nFURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 15-20 KTS, \r\nGOOD POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\n(SST) OF 27-28C. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT \r\nTHAT INVEST 95S WILL SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS GENERALLY SOUTH-\r\nSOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HRS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"