{"ObservationDate":"2024-11-12T14:00:00","Latitude":-10.4,"Longitude":76.8,"Windspeed":32.0,"Pressure":1002.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 95S","PotentialStatus":"MEDIUM","OriginalBulletin":["ABIO10 PGTW 121400","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ","REISSUED/121400Z-121800ZNOV2024//","RMKS/"," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE."," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:"," (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","9.0S 79.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.4S 76.8E, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM ","SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ","DEPICTS A RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), ","WHILE A 120957Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS FRAGMENTED FORMATIVE ","BANDING WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION STARTING TO FORM INTO CURVED ","BANDS NEAR THE LLCC AND WHAT APPEARS TO BE A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE. THE ","37GHZ BAND REVEALS THAT THIS IS NOT A FALSE MICROWAVE EYE. LATER MSI AND ","EIR IMAGERY HOWEVER SUGGESTS THIS FEATURE MAY BE SHORT-LIVED, AS THE ","CONVECTION IS ALREADY STARTING TO FADE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES ","THAT 95S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO LOW ","TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE ","TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. NUMERICAL ","MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL TRACK IN A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ","DIRECTION AND WILL CONTINUE TO STEADILY CONSOLIDATE AND STRENGTHEN OVER ","THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. THE ECMWF AND GFS ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD ","AGREEMENT IN THE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ","SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ","IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A ","SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO ","MEDIUM."," (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//"]}