"ABIO10 PGTW 200030\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/200030Z-201800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191951ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.3S \r\n97.0E, APPROXIMATELY 591 NM NORTH OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED \r\nENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. A \r\n191851Z ATMS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS FORMATIVE BANDING OVER THE \r\nNORTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND A WEAKLY DEFINED LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH FAIR POLEWARD \r\nOUTFLOW, MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 20-25 KNOTS, AND WARM \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30 C. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON \r\nTHE SLOW INTENSIFICATION AND THE SOUTHWARD TRACK OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE \r\nNEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//"