"ABIO10 PGTW 200600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/200600Z-201800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191951ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n1.1S 95.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 1.0S 94.7E, APPROXIMATELY 686 NM \r\nNORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY \r\n(MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY ORGANIZED, BROAD CIRCULATION, WITH A RAPIDLY \r\nCONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN THE \r\nNORTHERN PORTION OF THE LARGER ROTATION. DEEP CONVECTION CAN BE SEEN \r\nFLARING UP NEAR THE LLCC, AS WELL AS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE \r\nCIRCULATION. AN ASCAT-B 200230Z PASS REVEALS A SMALL, BUT WELL-\r\nDEFINED, SYMMETRICAL LLCC WITH 25 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING AROUND THE \r\nMAJORITY OF THE CIRCULATION, WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS PRESENT IN THE \r\nNORTHEASTERN SECTOR, TRAPPED ALONG THE ISLAND OFFSHORE OF WESTERN \r\nSUMATRA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND (20-25 KNOTS), STRONG \r\nDIFFLUENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 \r\nC). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 95S WILL CONTINUE \r\nTO HAVE GENERAL STEADY DEVELOPMENT WITH A CURVING SOUTH TO \r\nSOUTHWESTERN TRACK WITHIN THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO \r\nMEDIUM.//"