"ABIO10 PGTW 201800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z-\r\n211800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200751ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n1.0S 94.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.6SS 97.6E, APPROXIMATELY 460 NM NORTH \r\nOF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) AND A \r\n201434Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS DEPICT A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED \r\nDEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND OVER THE \r\nSOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL \r\nCONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\n(15-20 KTS), STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\n(29-30 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS PREDICT SLOW \r\nDEVELOPMENT AS INVEST 95S TURNS FROM A POLEWARD TO SOUTHWESTWARD \r\nTRAJECTORY OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"