"ABIO10 PGTW 221800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN \r\nOCEAN/221800Z-231800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220751ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.2N 68.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 67.9E, APPROXIMATELY 495 NM WEST \r\nOF COCHIN. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A POORLY \r\nDISORGANIZED BROAD CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL, BUT FLARING CONVECTION \r\nTHROUGHOUT THE GREATER BROAD TURNING ASSOCIATED WITH INVEST 92A. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 KNOTS), DIFFLUENT \r\nOUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). GLOBAL MODELS \r\nARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 92A WILL REMAIN A BROAD \r\nDISORGANIZED CIRCULATION WITH A NORTHWESTERN TRACK WITHIN THE NEXT \r\n24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO \r\n23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n7.3S 92.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.5S 91.0E, APPROXIMATELY 443 NM \r\nNORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(EIR) DEPICTS A SLOW CONSOLIDATING CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTENT DEEP \r\nCONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 KNOTS), GOOD POLEWARD \r\nOUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). GLOBAL \r\nMODELS REVEAL A TRACKABLE CIRCULATION, WITH WEAK DEVELOPMENT AND A \r\nWEST-SOUTHWEST TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"