{"ObservationDate":"2025-10-21T18:00:00","Latitude":-6.3,"Longitude":94.5,"Windspeed":25.0,"Pressure":1004.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 95S","PotentialStatus":"MEDIUM","OriginalBulletin":["ABIO10 PGTW 211800","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN ","OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZOCT2025//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210751ZOCT2025//","AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.7N ","67.8E, APPROXIMATELY 684 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED ","ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 211654Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS ","DEPICT A BROAD AND POORLY ORGANIZED CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN ","FLARING CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ","ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, WITH WARM (28-29 C) ","SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WESTWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT ","OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KTS) EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ","GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS SHOW A VERY SLOW AND GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT ","OVER TIME, WITH THE NAVGEM SOLUTION THE MOST DISTINCT AND FASTEST. ","ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT REGARDING A GRADUAL BUILD IN ","THE WIND SPEED UP TO 35 KTS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM ","SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA ","LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE ","DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS ","IS LOW.","      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","4.6S 97.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.3S 94.5E, APPROXIMATELY 377 NM NORTH-","NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY ","(EIR) AND A 211508Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS DEPICT A BROAD AND SLOWLY ","CONSOLIDATING CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE ","LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY. ","ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ","DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ","(15-20 KTS), RADIAL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 ","C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS HAVE A TRACEABLE CIRCULATION BUT ARE ","NOT SHOWING MUCH DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM ","TRACKS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. HOWEVER, THE NUMBER OF GEFS AND EC-ENS ","ENSEMBLE MODEL MEMBERS REACHING WARNING THRESHOLDS WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 ","DAYS HAS INCREASED A BIT IN RECENT RUNS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE ","WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ","ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A ","SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.","      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"]}