"ABPW10 PGTW 182300\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/182300Z-190600ZOCT2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.7N 143.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 136.9E, APPROXIMATELY 461 NM \r\nWEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) OBSCURED BY \r\nFLARING CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER. A 180004Z ASCAT-C IMAGE REVEALS \r\nAN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SLIGHTLY ELEVATED (15-20 KTS) WINDS IN \r\nTHE NORTHERN PERIPHERY BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL \r\nANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW \r\n(10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. VERY \r\nWARM (30-31 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASINGLY MOIST \r\nENVIRONMENT WILL ALSO AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM MOVING \r\nFORWARD. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.5N \r\n144.5E, APPROXIMATELY 54 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION WITH A \r\nWEAKLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS REVEALS THAT INVEST 95W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nFURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT, VERY WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31C), OFFSET BY LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-\r\n15KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 95W WILL \r\nGENERALLY TRACK IN A SLOW AND ERRATIC DIRECTION NORTHEASTWARD OVER \r\nTHE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT \r\n13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2).//"