"ABPW10 PGTW 061800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061800Z-070600ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051951ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061351ZOCT2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING AND REF B IS A \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n12.0N 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 146.3E, APPROXIMATELY 103 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(EIR) DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH \r\nFRAGMENTED FORMATIVE BANDING. A 061108Z ASCAT REVEALS A BROAD \r\nCIRCULATION WITH 20 KNOT WINDS OVER 90 NAUTICAL MILES ALONG THE \r\nEASTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95W WILL DEVELOP TO \r\nTHE NORTH, AND GFS INDICATES THE MOST INTENSE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE \r\nNEXT 48 HOURS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE HAS SHOWN 95W MOVING NORTH-\r\nNORTHWESTWARD WITH BOTH GEFS AND ECENS IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON \r\nDEVELOPMENT TIMELINE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO \r\nMEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO \r\nMEDIUM.//"