"ABPW10 PGTW 070600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070151ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070251ZOCT2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n12.7N 146.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 144.5E, APPROXIMATELY 76 NM NORTH \r\nOF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS \r\nA CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH BUILDING DEEP \r\nCONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95W WILL DEVELOP TO THE \r\nNORTH, AND GFS INDICATES THE MOST INTENSE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48 \r\nHOURS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE HAS SHOWN 95W MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD \r\nWITH BOTH GEFS AND ECENS IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON THE DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE \r\nOVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT \r\n18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 \r\nMB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW \r\n070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"