"ABPW10 PGTW 090600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZMAR2026//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 138.8E, APPROXIMATELY 74 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A \r\n090414Z AMSR2 89GHZ PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH \r\nSCATTERED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-\r\nLEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC MODELS CONTINUE TO BE HESITANT \r\nREGARDING THE FORMATION OF 95W WITH GFS STILL BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE \r\nMODEL. ENSEMBLE MODELS HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE \r\nPLACEMENT OF ITS MEMBERS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE \r\nNORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"