"ABIO10 PGTW 251500\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/251500Z-251800ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251352ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241951ZNOV2025//\r\nNARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n4.7N 99.0E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE \r\nPARA. 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n5.1N 78.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.2N 79.2E, APPROXIMATELY 106 NM \r\nSOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLOMBO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC), WITH FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WESTERN \r\nAND SOUTHERN PERIPHERIES. THE LLCC IS POSITIONED AT THE WESTERN END \r\nOF A TROUGH WHICH EXTENDS EASTWARDS TO ANOTHER AREA OF ROTATION EAST \r\nOF SRI LANKA. A 242228Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS SHALLOW \r\nFORMATIVE BANDING FEATURES WRAPPING INTO A NASCENT LLCC, WHILE A \r\n241812Z OSCAT-3 SCATTEROMETER PASS REVEALED AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH \r\nWINDS OF 20-25 KNOTS SURROUNDING THE AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 10-15 KNOTS, DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 28-29 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE \r\nMODELS, WITH NAVGEM BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE, ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT \r\nPORTRAYING 96B TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD OVER OR \r\nJUST SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA, THEN TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT \r\n48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO \r\nWARNING STATUS//"