"ABIO10 PGTW 251800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN \r\nOCEAN/251800Z-261800ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251352ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241951ZNOV2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF B IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n5.2N 79.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N 79.9E, APPROXIMATELY 116 NM SOUTH \r\nOF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(EIR) AND A RECENT 251222 SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS DEPICT A \r\nPOORLY-ORGANIZED, PARTIALLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT, FLARING CONVECTION AND FORMATIVE BANDING \r\nDEVELOPING ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERIES. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 5-10 KNOTS, DUAL-\r\nCHANNEL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) \r\nOF 28-29 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT \r\nPORTRAYING 96B TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD OVER SRI LANKA TOWARD THE BAY \r\nOF BENGAL OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"