"ABIO10 PGTW 260200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/260200Z-261800ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251952ZNOV2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n5.0N 79.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.5N 82.9E, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-\r\nSOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA.. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 251948Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT \r\nA PARTIALLY OBSCURED, ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) \r\nWITH FRAGMENTED CONVECTION AND FORMATIVE BANDING ALONG THE SOUTHERN \r\nAND WESTERN PERIPHERIES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 10-\r\n15 KNOTS, DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\n(SST) OF 28-29 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT PORTRAYING 96B TO CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT 48 \r\nHOURS AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COASTS OF SRI \r\nLANKA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO \r\nMEDIUM AND REMVOED 05S (FINA) INFORMATION DUE TO FINAL WARNNG \r\nEXPIRATION.//"