"ABIO10 PGTW 261800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN \r\nOCEAN/261800Z-271800ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261352ZNOV2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n5.5N 82.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.3N 81.5E, APPROXIMATELY 103 NM EAST-\r\nSOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(EIR) AND A 261611Z ASCAT METOP-B PASS DEPICTS ELEVATED WIND SPEEDS \r\nAPPEARING ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE ELONGATED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH BROKEN CONVECTION AND FORMATIVE \r\nBANDING AGAINST THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (SST) OF 28-29C AROUND THE COASTLINE OF SRI LANKA, AND \r\nRADIAL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THERE IS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\nPRESENT (20-25 KTS). DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT DEPICTING 96B TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWARD TRACK OVER SRI \r\nLANKA TOWARDS THE BAY OF BENGAL COUNTING TO CONSOLIDATE AND FORM A \r\nUNIFORM CIRCULATION OVER THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"