"ABIO10 PGTW 262100\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/262100Z-271800ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261952ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/262051ZNOV2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n6.3N 81.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.2N 81.4E, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM EAST-\r\nSOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SIR LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (EIR) AND A 261611Z ASCAT METOP-B PASS DEPICT ELEVATED WIND \r\nSPEEDS APPEARING ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING \r\nLOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH BROKEN CONVECTION AND \r\nFORMATIVE BANDING AGAINST THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY.\r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) AROUND THE \r\nCOASTLINE OF SRI LANKA, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW, AND LOW TO MODERATE (15-\r\n20 KTS) SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PRESENT. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT DEPICTING 96B \r\nTO CONTINUE ON A GENERALLY NORTHWARD TRACK OVER SRI LANKA AND TOWARDS \r\nTHE BAY OF BENGAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 \r\nTO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 \r\nMB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B \r\n(WTIO21 PGTW 262100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B. (1) TO \r\nHIGH.//"