{"ObservationDate":"2025-11-25T06:00:00","Latitude":6.3,"Longitude":77.8,"Windspeed":20.0,"Pressure":1008.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 96B","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABIO10 PGTW 250600","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ","REISSUED/250600Z-251800ZNOV2025//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241951ZNOV2025//","NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT AND REF B IS A ","TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//","RMKS/"," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:"," (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","4.5N 99.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.7N 99.3E, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM ","SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PHUKET. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY ","(MSI) DEPICTS AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ","DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING OVER THE CENTER. A 250230Z ASCAT-B PASS ","REVEALS A DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH STRONGER WINDS OF 30 KNOTS ","WRAPPING AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF INVEST 95B. ENVIRONMENTAL ","ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO ","MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS), MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ","ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE ","IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 95B WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE STEADY ","DEVELOPMENT WITH A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ","MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. ","MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE ","POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ","WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH."," (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","6.6N 77.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.3N 77.8E, APPROXIMATELY 133 NM WEST ","OF COLOMBO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A ","PARTIALLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH ","FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ","PERIPHERIES. THE LLCC IS POSITIONED AT THE WESTERN END OF A TROUGH ","WHICH EXTENDS EASTWARDS TO ANOTHER AREA OF ROTATION EAST OF SRI ","LANKA. A 242228Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS SHALLOW ","FORMATIVE BANDING FEATURES WRAPPING INTO A NASCENT LLCC, WHILE A ","241812Z OSCAT-3 SCATTEROMETER PASS REVEALED AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH ","WINDS OF 20-25 KNOTS SURROUNDING THE AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS ","REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL ","WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 10-15 KNOTS, DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA ","SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 28-29 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE ","MODELS, WITH NAVGEM BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE, ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ","PORTRAYING 96B TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD OVER OR ","JUST SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA, THEN TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT ","48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 ","KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. ","THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ","WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW."," (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE."," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.(B).1 TO ","HIGH.//"]}