"ABPW10 PGTW 200600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/200600Z-210600ZFEB2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):\r\n A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):\r\n A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.9S 171.1W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.8S 170.3W, APPROXIMATELY 104 NM \r\nSOUTH OF PAGO PAGO, AMERICAN SAMOA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED, BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION \r\n(LLC) WITH ISOLATED, FLARING CONVECTION OBSCURING THE CENTER. A \r\n200216Z SSMIS 91 GHZ COLOR COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS NO \r\nDISCERNIBLE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED \r\nWITHIN THE NORTHERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW BETWEEN AN ANTICYCLONE TO THE \r\nEAST AND A WEAK LOW TO THE WEST. CONSEQUENTLY, ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nCONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE WITH MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW \r\nAND LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DRY AIR \r\nENTRAINMENT IS PRESENT OVER THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND PROBABILISTIC MODELS INDICATE A SOUTHWARD TRACK \r\nMOTION OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS WITH SLOW DEVELOPMENT DUE TO PERSISTENT \r\nUPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED \r\nAT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n17.9S 173.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.9S 174.0E, APPROXIMATELY 208 NM \r\nWEST-SOUTHWEST OF NADI, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY-EXPOSED, WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION \r\n(LLC). A 200202Z AMSR2 36 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS SHALLOW, \r\nFRAGMENTED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WEAK CENTER. A 200200Z AMSR2 \r\nWINDSPEED IMAGE INDICATES THAT THE LLC IS LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHERN \r\nPERIPHERY OF A SWATH OF 20-25 KNOT EAST-SOUTHEASTERLIES WITH WEAKER \r\nWINDS ELSEWHERE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINAL WITH \r\nCONVERGENT NORTHERLY FLOW, MODERATE TO HIGH (20-30 KNOTS) VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR, AND EXTENSIVE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nPROBABILISTIC MODELS INDICATE A SLOW WESTWARD TRACK MOTION OVER THE \r\nNEXT TWO DAYS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//\r\nNNNN\n"