"ABIO10 PGTW 091800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN \r\nOCEAN/091800Z-101800ZAPR2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.4N 85.1E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT \r\nOF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.0S 132.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.8S 131.9E, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM \r\nNORTH-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 091143Z 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT A \r\nVERY BROAD, ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING \r\nCONVECTION SUPPORTED BY A 091306Z ASCAT-C PASS. RECENT OBSERVATIONS \r\nFROM MCCLUER ISLAND PORTRAY A STEADY TREND OF 10-12 KNOT WINDS FROM THE \r\nSOUTHEAST WITH THE MOST RECENT OBSERVATION SHOWING WINDS OF 10 KNOTS \r\nFROM THE SOUTHEAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MODERATE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\n(VWS) OF 10-20 KNOTS, WEAK UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (SST) OF 30-31 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN \r\nAGREEMENT SHOWING SLOW MODEL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"