"ABIO10 PGTW 101400\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/101400Z-101800ZAPR2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101351ZAPR2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n8.8S 131.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.7S 130.3E, APPROXIMATELY 235 NM NORTH \r\nOF DARWIN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A \r\nCONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH INCREASING CORE \r\nCONVECTION. A 100915Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS FORMATIVE \r\nCONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. MULTIPLE SCATTEROMETER \r\nPASSES INDICATE A DEFINED CIRCULATION, WITH 20-25 KNOT WINDS OVER THE \r\nSOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH MODERATE TO HIGH EASTERLY \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 20-25 KNOTS OFFSET BY GOOD WESTWARD UPPER-\r\nLEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 29-30 C. GLOBAL \r\nMODELS AND ENSEMBLES INDICATE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-48 \r\nHOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO \r\nHIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 101400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO HIGH.//"