"ABPW10 PGTW 150600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/150600Z-160600ZJUN2026//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.2N 161.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 160.5E, APPROXIMATELY 940 NM \r\nEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS \r\n92W AS A TROPICAL WAVE, WITH DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE BURSTS. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C) OFFSET \r\nBY SLIGHT DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT FROM THE WEST. DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS LARGELY SHOW SLOW DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-48 \r\nHOURS WITH A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.2S 171.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.7S 171.5E, APPROXIMATELY 362 NM \r\nWEST-NORTHWEST OF NADI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(MSI) DEPICTS AN ELONGATED, MOSTLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION \r\nCENTER (LLCC) WITH A LARGE BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION SITUATED ALONG THE \r\nEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. EARLIER ASCAT DATA REVEALED AN \r\nASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LOCATED WITHIN THE \r\nSOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES UNFAVORABLE \r\nCHARACTERISTICS FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW \r\nAND WARM (27-28 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES GREATLY OFFSET BY VERY \r\nHIGH (40-50 KTS) WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR \r\nENTRAINMENT. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE AGREES ON A SOUTHEASTWARD \r\nTRACK, SOUTH OF FIJI OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 96P IS EXPECTED TO \r\nBECOME FURTHER EMBEDDED WITHIN THE STRONG MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND \r\nTRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE AS AN INCOMING UPPER-LEVEL \r\nTROUGH ENVELOPS THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 33 TO 38 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.      \r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.//"