"ABIO10 PGTW 231800 COR\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nCORRECTED/231800Z-241800ZNOV2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n4.4N 92.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N 88.4E, APPROXIMATELY 439 NM SOUTH-\r\nSOUTHWEST OF PORT BLAIR. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(EIR) SHOWS THE SYSTEM STILL STRUGGLING TO FOCUS AND CONSOLIDATE, BUT \r\nTHE ENERGY IN THE MONSOON TROF HAS INCREASED, WITH CONVECTION \r\nSPREADING ALL THE WAY FROM THE MALAYSIAN PENINSULA TO OVER SRI LANKA. \r\nTHE SYSTEM IS BEING DRIVEN BY A VIGOROUS WESTERLY WIND BURST ALONG THE \r\nEQUATOR AND IS PAIRED WITH ITS TWIN CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHERN \r\nHEMISPHERE, INVEST 96S. THE ENVIRONMENT AROUND THE SYSTEM IS FAVORABLE \r\nFOR CONTINUED SLOW DEVELOPMENT LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 10-15KTS, \r\nGOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF \r\n29-30 C. THE MJO PULSE PROVIDING THE ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER \r\nTHE FAR EASTERN INDIAN OCEAN FOR ANOTHER FEW DAYS BEFORE TRACKING OVER \r\nTHE MARITIME CONTINENT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99B WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT \r\nTRACKS TOWARDS THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF INDIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.2S \r\n92.5E, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND. ANIMATED \r\nENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A POORLY-ORGANIZED, \r\nYET CONSOLIDATING LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS BEING DRIVEN BY A VIGOROUS \r\nWESTERLY WIND BURST ALONG THE EQUATOR AND IS PAIRED WITH ITS TWIN \r\nCYCLONE IN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE, INVEST 99B. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE \r\nWATER LOOPS SHOW AMPLE DEEP MOISTURE FEEDING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM ALL \r\nSIDES AND THERE IS A GENERALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT TO SUSTAIN THE \r\nSYSTEM INCLUDING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VALUES BELOW 10KTS OVER THE \r\nDEVELOPING SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MONSOON TROUGH. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE MJO PULSE \r\nPROVIDING THE ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER THE FAR EASTERN INDIAN \r\nOCEAN FOR ANOTHER FEW DAYS BEFORE TRACKING OVER THE MARITIME CONTINENT \r\nAND  BOTH ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE INDICATE VERY SLOW \r\nDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED AND REMOVED \r\nINFORMATION IN PARA. 1.B.(1) AND (2).//"