"ABIO10 PGTW 260300\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/260300Z-261800ZNOV2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/252000ZNOV24//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT./\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n5.7N 83.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N 84.0E, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST-\r\nSOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LLCC WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION \r\nEMBEDDED WITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH. A 251238Z SSMIS F17 91GHZ MICROWAVE \r\nIMAGE DEPICTS FRAGMENTED, FORMATIVE BANDING ALONG THE WESTERN \r\nSEMICIRCLE. A 241626Z ASCAT METOP-B PASS INDICATES THE AREA OF \r\nCONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE SYMMETRICAL WITH 30 KT WINDS WITHIN THE \r\nWESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-\r\n30C, SYMMETRIC 850 MB VORTICITY AND A MIGRATION TOWARD A LOWER SHEAR \r\nENVIRONMENT TO THE NORTH. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99B WILL CONSOLIDATE AND STRENGTHEN OVER THE \r\nNEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO \r\n33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.3S 95.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5S 95.1E, APPROXIMATELY 189 NM NORTH-\r\nNORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED PERSISTENT \r\nCONVECTION. A 251534Z ASCAT METOP-C 25KM PASS ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A VERY BROAD AREA OF DENSE, PERSISTENT \r\nCONVECTION WITH FRAGMENTED RAIN BANDS BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE BASED ON A \r\n252345Z SSMIS F16 91GHZ PASS. THE ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE \r\nFOR DEVELOPMENT WITH CONDUCIVE WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A \r\nSTRONG 850 MB VORTICITY VALUE, AS WELL AS ROBUST RADIAL DIVERGENCE \r\nALOFT THIS IS OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25KT) VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96S \r\nWILL CONSOLIDATE AND DRIFT POLEWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HRS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO \r\nMEDIUM.////"