"ABIO10 PGTW 262100\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/262100Z-271800ZNOV2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261951ZNOV2024//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/262021ZNOV2024//\r\nNARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n7.5N 82.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3N 82.4E, APPROXIMATELY 174 NM EAST-\r\nNORTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (EIR), AS WELL AS A 261229Z 91GHZ SSMIS IMAGE, DEPICT CURVED \r\nDEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING CONSOLIDATING NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION. A \r\nPARTIAL 261508Z ASCAT METOP-B PASS INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION \r\nHAS A SYMMETRICAL STRENGTHENING CIRCULATION WITH 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE \r\nEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES \r\nA FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL \r\nDIVERGENCE, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30C), SYMMETRIC 850 MB \r\nVORTICITY, AND LOW TO MODERATE UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR (15-20KTS). \r\nGLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99B WILL \r\nCONSOLIDATE AND STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 262000) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.7S 93.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.7S 92.7E, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM \r\nWEST NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (EIR) SHOWS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED SLIGHTLY TO \r\nTHE SOUTHWEST OF A PARTIALLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC). A 261601Z ASCAT METOP-C 25KM PARTIAL PASS INDICATES DEFINED \r\nAND STRENGTHENING CIRCULATION WITH STRONG 30-35KT WINDS IN THE \r\nSOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION BUT STARTING TO WRAP UP THE \r\nWESTERN SIDE. A 261633Z GMI 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALED A RATHER \r\nDISORGANIZED LLCC, WITH LOW-LEVEL BANDING FEATURES IN THE NORTHERN \r\nHEMISPHERE OF THE CIRCULATION, AND STRONGER, MORE CONVECTIVE BANDING \r\nTO THE SOUTH. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nCONDUCIVE WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A STRONG 850 MB VORTICITY \r\nVALUE, AS WELL AS ROBUST RADIAL DIVERGENCE ALOFT OFFSET BY MODERATE TO \r\nHIGH (20-25KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN \r\nAGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96S WILL CONSOLIDATE AND DRIFT POLEWARD OVER THE \r\nNEXT 24 TO 48 HRS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 262030) FOR FURTHER \r\nDETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREAS IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO \r\nHIGH//"