"ABIO10 PGTW 071800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN \r\nOCEAN/071800Z-081800ZFEB2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070752ZFEB2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070751ZFEB2025//\r\nNARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n21.6S 37.2E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.\r\n      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.9S \r\n126.3E, APPROXIMATELY 151 NM NORTHWEST OF WYNDHAM, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED \r\nENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF \r\nROTATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH. A 071642Z PARTIAL ASCAT \r\nMETOP-C SCATTEROMETRY PASS REVEALS A WIND FIELD OF 20-25 KNOTS IN THE \r\nNORTH-NORTHWEST QUADRANT, WITH AREAS OF 15-20 KNOT WINDS BEGINNING TO \r\nWRAP MORE INTO THE WEAKLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 96S IS IN A FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO VERY WARM (30-31C) SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR, AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE GEFS AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE \r\nIN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96S WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE \r\nNEXT 24-36 HOURS. HOWEVER, GLOBAL MODELS DISAGREE ON THE PROGRESSION \r\nAND POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF 96S. ECMWF IS CURRENTLY THE PRIMARY MODEL \r\nINDICATING DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS LOW.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"